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Matchup Scorecard β Houston Astros @ Kansas City Royals
Tatsuya Imai vs Luinder AvilaFinal Β· Started --Β· game day 2026-06-12
Edge: Houston Astros +11.7LOWHouston Astros lineup holds the matchup edge (+11.65). Based on pitch-type fit + limited 1:1 history.
Small historical sample: pitch-type profile and recent form are weighted more heavily. confirmed_lineup / probable_lineup / roster_proxy.
Nyx Analysis
- β’The Houston Astros are favored on a stronger starter and a stronger bullpen.
βΈSupporting data
matchup.edge: team=Houston Astros Β· reasons=sp,bp Β· edge=8
Tatsuya Imai vs Kansas City Royals lineup
vs Tatsuya Imai Β· lineup: confirmed_lineup
| # | Batter | PA | AVG | OPS | xwOBA | K% | Pitcher weapon | Danger pitch | Edge | Conf | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carter Jensen | 0 | β | β | β | β | Slider | β | Low sample | 20% | TINY |
| 2 | Bobby Witt Jr. | 0 | β | β | β | β | Slider | β | Low sample | 20% | TINY |
| 3 | Starling Marte | 0 | β | β | β | β | Slider | Sinker | Neutral | 20% | TINY |
| 4 | Maikel Garcia | 0 | β | β | β | β | Slider | β | Low sample | 20% | TINY |
| 5 | Jac Caglianone | 0 | β | β | β | β | Slider | β | Low sample | 20% | TINY |
| 6 | Salvador Perez | 0 | β | β | β | β | Slider | Sinker | Pitcher edge | 20% | TINY |
| 7 | Michael Massey | 0 | β | β | β | β | Slider | β | Low sample | 20% | TINY |
| 8 | Lane Thomas | 0 | β | β | β | β | Slider | Sinker | Pitcher edge | 20% | TINY |
| 9 | Isaac Collins | 0 | β | β | β | β | Slider | β | Low sample | 20% | TINY |
Luinder Avila vs Houston Astros lineup
vs Luinder Avila Β· lineup: confirmed_lineup
| # | Batter | PA | AVG | OPS | xwOBA | K% | Pitcher weapon | Danger pitch | Edge | Conf | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeremy PeΓ±a | 0 | β | β | β | β | Slider | 4-Seam Fastball | Neutral | 20% | TINY |
| 2 | Yordan Alvarez | 0 | β | β | β | β | Slider | β | Low sample | 20% | TINY |
| 3 | Christian Walker | 0 | β | β | β | β | Slider | Sinker | Pitcher edge | 20% | TINY |
| 4 | Isaac Paredes | 0 | β | β | β | β | Slider | β | Low sample | 20% | TINY |
| 5 | Jose Altuve | 0 | β | β | β | β | Slider | Changeup | Pitcher edge | 20% | TINY |
| 6 | Brice Matthews | 0 | β | β | β | β | Slider | β | Low sample | 20% | TINY |
| 7 | Cam Smith | 0 | β | β | β | β | Slider | β | Low sample | 20% | TINY |
| 8 | Jake Meyers | 0 | β | β | β | β | Slider | β | Low sample | 20% | TINY |
| 9 | Christian VΓ‘zquez | 0 | β | β | β | β | Slider | 4-Seam Fastball | Pitcher edge | 20% | TINY |
Pitch-type breakdown
Tatsuya Imai vs
No pitch-type history for this pairing.
Luinder Avila vs
No pitch-type history for this pairing.
Bullpen vs lineup (highest risk first)
| Reliever | Batter | PA | OPS | xwOBA | Arsenal | Batter weak vs | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Blubaugh | Isaac Collins | 1 | β | .702 | FF 50%, CH 22%, ST 20% | β | MEDIUM |
| AJ Blubaugh | Bobby Witt Jr. | 1 | .000 | .434 | FF 50%, CH 22%, ST 20% | β | MEDIUM |
| Bryan King | Carter Jensen | 1 | β | .702 | FF 62%, ST 27%, SI 11% | β | MEDIUM |
| Bryan King | Isaac Collins | 1 | β | .733 | FF 62%, ST 27%, SI 11% | β | MEDIUM |
| Bryan King | Bobby Witt Jr. | 1 | 2.000 | .484 | FF 62%, ST 27%, SI 11% | β | MEDIUM |
| Josh Hader | Maikel Garcia | 1 | .000 | .654 | SI 75%, SL 25% | β | MEDIUM |
| Mason Black | Yordan Alvarez | 2 | 3.500 | 1.087 | ST 28%, SI 28%, FF 19% | β | MEDIUM |
| Mason Black | Jeremy PeΓ±a | 1 | β | .702 | ST 28%, SI 28%, FF 19% | Changeup | MEDIUM |
| Mason Black | Cam Smith | 1 | .000 | 1.144 | ST 28%, SI 28%, FF 19% | β | MEDIUM |
| Mason Black | Jose Altuve | 2 | 1.000 | .284 | ST 28%, SI 28%, FF 19% | Sinker | MEDIUM |
| Mason Black | Isaac Paredes | 2 | β | .717 | ST 28%, SI 28%, FF 19% | β | MEDIUM |
| AJ Blubaugh | Carter Jensen | 1 | .000 | .103 | FF 50%, CH 22%, ST 20% | β | LOW |
| AJ Blubaugh | Jac Caglianone | 1 | .000 | .000 | FF 50%, CH 22%, ST 20% | β | LOW |
| AJ Blubaugh | Maikel Garcia | 1 | .000 | .000 | FF 50%, CH 22%, ST 20% | β | LOW |
| Bryan King | Lane Thomas | 1 | .000 | .000 | FF 62%, ST 27%, SI 11% | Curveball | LOW |
| Bryan King | Starling Marte | 1 | .000 | .159 | FF 62%, ST 27%, SI 11% | Cutter | LOW |
| Josh Hader | Salvador Perez | 1 | .000 | .081 | SI 75%, SL 25% | Changeup | LOW |
| Josh Hader | Jac Caglianone | 1 | .000 | .057 | SI 75%, SL 25% | β | LOW |
| Mason Black | Christian VΓ‘zquez | 1 | .000 | .081 | ST 28%, SI 28%, FF 19% | Curveball | LOW |
| Mason Black | Christian Walker | 2 | .000 | .000 | ST 28%, SI 28%, FF 19% | Sweeper | LOW |
| Steven Cruz | Jeremy PeΓ±a | 1 | .000 | .003 | FF 59%, FC 24%, SL 18% | Changeup | LOW |
| Steven Cruz | Yordan Alvarez | 1 | .000 | .047 | FF 59%, FC 24%, SL 18% | β | LOW |
| Steven Cruz | Cam Smith | 1 | .000 | .056 | FF 59%, FC 24%, SL 18% | β | LOW |
| Steven Cruz | Christian VΓ‘zquez | 1 | .000 | .184 | FF 59%, FC 24%, SL 18% | Curveball | LOW |
| AJ Blubaugh | Lane Thomas | 0 | β | β | FF 50%, CH 22%, ST 20% | Curveball | UNKNOWN |
| AJ Blubaugh | Michael Massey | 0 | β | β | FF 50%, CH 22%, ST 20% | β | UNKNOWN |
| AJ Blubaugh | Salvador Perez | 0 | β | β | FF 50%, CH 22%, ST 20% | Changeup | UNKNOWN |
| AJ Blubaugh | Starling Marte | 0 | β | β | FF 50%, CH 22%, ST 20% | Cutter | UNKNOWN |
| Beck Way | Jeremy PeΓ±a | 0 | β | β | FC 39%, SI 23%, FF 23% | Changeup | UNKNOWN |
| Beck Way | Yordan Alvarez | 0 | β | β | FC 39%, SI 23%, FF 23% | β | UNKNOWN |
| Beck Way | Christian Walker | 0 | β | β | FC 39%, SI 23%, FF 23% | Sweeper | UNKNOWN |
| Beck Way | Isaac Paredes | 0 | β | β | FC 39%, SI 23%, FF 23% | β | UNKNOWN |
| Beck Way | Jose Altuve | 0 | β | β | FC 39%, SI 23%, FF 23% | Sinker | UNKNOWN |
| Beck Way | Brice Matthews | 0 | β | β | FC 39%, SI 23%, FF 23% | β | UNKNOWN |
| Beck Way | Cam Smith | 0 | β | β | FC 39%, SI 23%, FF 23% | β | UNKNOWN |
| Beck Way | Jake Meyers | 0 | β | β | FC 39%, SI 23%, FF 23% | β | UNKNOWN |
| Beck Way | Christian VΓ‘zquez | 0 | β | β | FC 39%, SI 23%, FF 23% | Curveball | UNKNOWN |
| Bryan Abreu | Bobby Witt Jr. | 0 | β | β | FF 49%, SL 48%, FC 4% | β | UNKNOWN |
| Bryan Abreu | Isaac Collins | 0 | β | β | FF 49%, SL 48%, FC 4% | β | UNKNOWN |
| Bryan Abreu | Lane Thomas | 0 | β | β | FF 49%, SL 48%, FC 4% | Curveball | UNKNOWN |
Top 3 hitter advantages
Yordan Alvarez vs Luinder Avila
54Low sample
Isaac Paredes vs Luinder Avila
54Low sample
Brice Matthews vs Luinder Avila
54Low sample
Top 3 pitcher advantages
Luinder Avila vs Christian VΓ‘zquez83
Tatsuya Imai vs Lane Thomas74
Luinder Avila vs Jose Altuve71