Final
HOU0β4
Final
KCLine score not available yet.
NYX Live Trend
Trend begins at first pitch.
Model-based game control score derived from live play-by-play. Not betting odds.
Postgame Review
What changed after first pitch.
Result
Royals won Β· Astros 0, Royals 4
Pregame edge
Royals Β· held up
Pregame Snapshot
Before first pitch, NYX expectedβ¦
NYX Win Edge
Royals 52% to Win
Toss-UpConfirmed
Updated after confirmed lineups. Model-based estimate, not betting odds.
Astros also brings
- β’Better starter projection
Why we like Royals
- βOpponent missing key regulars
- βBetter recent form
- βBetter offensive production
- βHome field
- βHigher overall matchup score
Home Advantage
Royals home45%17β21
Astros road45%17β21
Home Edge+0
Team Story
Royals comes in playing steady baseball lately. Astros counters with a capable starter, but Royals enters with the edge on the bats.
Game Notes
- β’Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Royals with 9 HR
- β’Yordan Alvarez leads the Astros with 24 HR
- β’Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Royals with 82 hits
- β’Yordan Alvarez leads the Astros with 85 hits
- β’Yordan Alvarez ranks #3 in MLB in AVG (.326)
Overall MatchupAstrosRoyals
62
58
Matchup Scorecard
AstrosRoyals
4857
Starting Pitching
8655
Bullpen
4958
Offense
5543
Run Prevention
6774
Context & Health
Astros @ Royals
NYX Engine v2.2Walk-Forward Validated
Key Drivers
- BullpenAstros -7.0
- Starting PitchingRoyals +2.4
- OffenseRoyals +1.7
- Run PreventionAstros -1.5
- HealthRoyals +1.3
What Could Flip It
- β’If Houston Astros bullpen delivers, it could swing the game
- β’If Houston Astros run prevention delivers, it could swing the game
- β’Home & Environment is near-even and could decide it
Prediction Timeline
How the NYX read moved before first pitch.
- 52%Initial Read
Health & Availability
Astrosβ
β
β
β
β
2 regular(s) out
Royalsβ
β
β
β
β
1 regular(s) out
Away starter
Spencer Arrighetti
ProbableData quality: Medium
βΈShow stats
Season stats unavailable
Arsenal unavailable
Source: MLB schedule
Kansas City Royals holds a 15.2-pt model edge (Kansas City Royals 62.4 vs Houston Astros 47.1). Confidence 100% (high data). Analysis edge only β not betting advice.
Last 10 Meetings
Astros lead 2β1Astros
WWL
Royals
LLW
Oldest β most recent Β· completed MLB games