Nyx Aether Baseball

Matchup Scorecard — Philadelphia Phillies @ Milwaukee Brewers

Andrew Painter vs Jacob Misiorowski

Final · Started --· game day 2026-06-12

Edge: Milwaukee Brewers +1.1LOWMilwaukee Brewers lineup holds the matchup edge (+1.14). Based on pitch-type fit + limited 1:1 history.

Small historical sample: pitch-type profile and recent form are weighted more heavily. confirmed_lineup / probable_lineup / roster_proxy.

Nyx Analysis

•The Milwaukee Brewers are favored on a stronger starter and a deeper lineup.

▸Supporting data

matchup.edge: team=Milwaukee Brewers · reasons=sp,bat · edge=27

Andrew Painter vs Milwaukee Brewers lineup

vs Andrew Painter · lineup: roster_proxy

#	Batter	AVG	OPS	xwOBA	K%	Pitcher weapon	Danger pitch	Edge	Conf	Sample
1	Christian Yelich	—	—	—	—	Slider	Sweeper	Batter edge	20%	TINY
2	Jackson Chourio	—	—	—	—	Slider	—	Low sample	20%	TINY
3	Brice Turang	—	—	—	—	Slider	4-Seam Fastball	Pitcher edge	20%	TINY
4	Andrew Vaughn	—	—	—	—	Slider	—	Low sample	20%	TINY
5	Blake Perkins	—	—	—	—	Slider	Sinker	Pitcher edge	20%	TINY
6	Gary Sánchez	—	—	—	—	Slider	Sinker	Pitcher edge	20%	TINY
7	Sal Frelick	—	—	—	—	Slider	—	Low sample	20%	TINY
8	Luis Rengifo	—	—	—	—	Slider	4-Seam Fastball	Pitcher edge	20%	TINY
9	William Contreras	—	—	—	—	Slider	Slider	Neutral	20%	TINY

Jacob Misiorowski vs Philadelphia Phillies lineup

vs Jacob Misiorowski · lineup: roster_proxy

#	Batter	AVG	OPS	xwOBA	K%	Pitcher weapon	Danger pitch	Edge	Conf	Sample
1	Kyle Schwarber	—	—	—	—	Slider	Cutter	Neutral	20%	TINY
2	Trea Turner	—	—	—	—	Slider	Curveball	Batter edge	20%	TINY
3	Bryce Harper	—	—	—	—	Slider	Changeup	Batter edge	20%	TINY
4	Brandon Marsh	—	—	—	—	Slider	Cutter	Neutral	20%	TINY
5	Alec Bohm	—	—	—	—	Slider	Curveball	Pitcher edge	20%	TINY
6	Bryson Stott	—	—	—	—	Slider	Cutter	Pitcher edge	20%	TINY
7	J.T. Realmuto	—	—	—	—	Slider	Cutter	Pitcher edge	20%	TINY
8	Steward Berroa	—	—	—	—	Slider	4-Seam Fastball	Neutral	20%	TINY
9	Justin Crawford	—	—	—	—	Slider	—	Low sample	20%	TINY

Pitch-type breakdown

Andrew Painter vs

No pitch-type history for this pairing.

Jacob Misiorowski vs

No pitch-type history for this pairing.

Bullpen vs lineup (highest risk first)

Reliever	Batter	OPS	xwOBA	Arsenal	Batter weak vs	Risk
Aaron Ashby	Kyle Schwarber	—	—	SI 51%, CU 18%, SL 17%	Sweeper	UNKNOWN
Aaron Ashby	Justin Crawford	—	—	SI 51%, CU 18%, SL 17%	—	UNKNOWN
Aaron Ashby	Steward Berroa	—	—	SI 51%, CU 18%, SL 17%	Slider	UNKNOWN
Aaron Ashby	J.T. Realmuto	—	—	SI 51%, CU 18%, SL 17%	4-Seam Fastball	UNKNOWN
Aaron Ashby	Bryson Stott	—	—	SI 51%, CU 18%, SL 17%	Slider	UNKNOWN
Aaron Ashby	Alec Bohm	—	—	SI 51%, CU 18%, SL 17%	Sweeper	UNKNOWN
Aaron Ashby	Brandon Marsh	—	—	SI 51%, CU 18%, SL 17%	Split-Finger	UNKNOWN
Aaron Ashby	Bryce Harper	—	—	SI 51%, CU 18%, SL 17%	Sinker	UNKNOWN
Aaron Ashby	Trea Turner	—	—	SI 51%, CU 18%, SL 17%	Sweeper	UNKNOWN
Brad Keller	Luis Rengifo	—	—	FF 32%, SL 21%, SI 20%	Knuckle Curve	UNKNOWN
Brad Keller	Sal Frelick	—	—	FF 32%, SL 21%, SI 20%	—	UNKNOWN
Brad Keller	Gary Sánchez	—	—	FF 32%, SL 21%, SI 20%	Slider	UNKNOWN
Brad Keller	Blake Perkins	—	—	FF 32%, SL 21%, SI 20%	4-Seam Fastball	UNKNOWN
Brad Keller	Andrew Vaughn	—	—	FF 32%, SL 21%, SI 20%	—	UNKNOWN
Brad Keller	Brice Turang	—	—	FF 32%, SL 21%, SI 20%	Sinker	UNKNOWN
Brad Keller	William Contreras	—	—	FF 32%, SL 21%, SI 20%	Sweeper	UNKNOWN
Brad Keller	Jackson Chourio	—	—	FF 32%, SL 21%, SI 20%	—	UNKNOWN
Brad Keller	Christian Yelich	—	—	FF 32%, SL 21%, SI 20%	Slider	UNKNOWN
Chad Patrick	J.T. Realmuto	—	—	FC 42%, FF 25%, SI 20%	4-Seam Fastball	UNKNOWN
Chad Patrick	Kyle Schwarber	—	—	FC 42%, FF 25%, SI 20%	Sweeper	UNKNOWN
Chad Patrick	Trea Turner	—	—	FC 42%, FF 25%, SI 20%	Sweeper	UNKNOWN
Chad Patrick	Bryce Harper	—	—	FC 42%, FF 25%, SI 20%	Sinker	UNKNOWN
Chad Patrick	Brandon Marsh	—	—	FC 42%, FF 25%, SI 20%	Split-Finger	UNKNOWN
Chad Patrick	Alec Bohm	—	—	FC 42%, FF 25%, SI 20%	Sweeper	UNKNOWN
Chad Patrick	Bryson Stott	—	—	FC 42%, FF 25%, SI 20%	Slider	UNKNOWN
Chad Patrick	Steward Berroa	—	—	FC 42%, FF 25%, SI 20%	Slider	UNKNOWN
Chad Patrick	Justin Crawford	—	—	FC 42%, FF 25%, SI 20%	—	UNKNOWN
Chase Shugart	Jackson Chourio	—	—	SI 29%, FC 28%, ST 23%	—	UNKNOWN
Chase Shugart	William Contreras	—	—	SI 29%, FC 28%, ST 23%	Sweeper	UNKNOWN
Chase Shugart	Luis Rengifo	—	—	SI 29%, FC 28%, ST 23%	Knuckle Curve	UNKNOWN
Chase Shugart	Sal Frelick	—	—	SI 29%, FC 28%, ST 23%	—	UNKNOWN
Chase Shugart	Gary Sánchez	—	—	SI 29%, FC 28%, ST 23%	Slider	UNKNOWN
Chase Shugart	Blake Perkins	—	—	SI 29%, FC 28%, ST 23%	4-Seam Fastball	UNKNOWN
Chase Shugart	Christian Yelich	—	—	SI 29%, FC 28%, ST 23%	Slider	UNKNOWN
Chase Shugart	Andrew Vaughn	—	—	SI 29%, FC 28%, ST 23%	—	UNKNOWN
Chase Shugart	Brice Turang	—	—	SI 29%, FC 28%, ST 23%	Sinker	UNKNOWN
Coleman Crow	Justin Crawford	—	—	FC 36%, CU 21%, FF 19%	—	UNKNOWN
Coleman Crow	Steward Berroa	—	—	FC 36%, CU 21%, FF 19%	Slider	UNKNOWN
Coleman Crow	J.T. Realmuto	—	—	FC 36%, CU 21%, FF 19%	Sinker	UNKNOWN
Coleman Crow	Bryson Stott	—	—	FC 36%, CU 21%, FF 19%	Sweeper	UNKNOWN

Top 3 hitter advantages

Trea Turner vs Jacob Misiorowski

61Batter edge

Christian Yelich vs Andrew Painter

60Batter edge

Bryce Harper vs Jacob Misiorowski

58Batter edge

Top 3 pitcher advantages

Jacob Misiorowski vs Justin Crawford81

Andrew Painter vs Brice Turang71

Jacob Misiorowski vs J.T. Realmuto69