Final
PHI0–4
Final
MILLine score not available yet.
NYX Live Trend
Trend begins at first pitch.
Model-based game control score derived from live play-by-play. Not betting odds.
Postgame Review
What changed after first pitch.
Result
Brewers won · Phillies 0, Brewers 4
Pregame edge
Brewers · held up
Pregame Snapshot
Before first pitch, NYX expected…
NYX Win Edge
Brewers 52% to Win
Toss-UpConfirmed
Updated after confirmed lineups. Model-based estimate, not betting odds.
Phillies also brings
- •Better starter projection
Why we like Brewers
- ✓Opponent missing key regulars
- ✓Strong home-field advantage
- ✓Better bullpen quality
- ✓Lower bullpen fatigue
- ✓Better recent form
Home Advantage
Brewers home62%23–14
Phillies road54%19–16
Home Edge+8
Team Story
Brewers has been the stronger side at home this season (62%). Phillies counters with a capable starter, but Brewers holds the stronger overall profile.
Game Notes
- •Jake Bauers leads the Brewers with 13 HR
- •Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with 24 HR
- •William Contreras leads the Brewers with 76 hits
- •Brandon Marsh leads the Phillies with 76 hits
- •Brandon Marsh ranks #4 in MLB in AVG (.322)
Overall MatchupPhilliesBrewers
75
71
Matchup Scorecard
PhilliesBrewers
8876
Starting Pitching
8880
Bullpen
5269
Offense
7664
Run Prevention
6562
Context & Health
Phillies @ Brewers
NYX Engine v2.2Walk-Forward Validated
Key Drivers
- Starting PitchingPhillies -3.1
- OffenseBrewers +3.0
- HealthPhillies -2.4
- BullpenPhillies -1.9
- Home AdvantageBrewers +1.7
Risk Factors
- •Milwaukee Brewers missing regulars (lineup not at full strength)
What Could Flip It
- •If Philadelphia Phillies health delivers, it could swing the game
- •If Philadelphia Phillies run prevention delivers, it could swing the game
- •Bullpen is near-even and could decide it
Prediction Timeline
How the NYX read moved before first pitch.
- 52%Initial Read
Health & Availability
Phillies★★★★★3 regular(s) out
Brewers★★★★★4 regular(s) out
Milwaukee Brewers holds a 6.4-pt model edge (Milwaukee Brewers 66.5 vs Philadelphia Phillies 60.1). Confidence 100% (high data). Analysis edge only — not betting advice.
Last 10 Meetings
Brewers lead 2–1Phillies
LWL
Brewers
WLW
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