Matchup Scorecard β St. Louis Cardinals @ Minnesota Twins
Away starter
Matthew LiberatoreConfirmed
Home starter
Connor PrielippConfirmed
Starts --Β· game day 2026-06-13
Edge: Minnesota Twins +6.5LOWMinnesota Twins lineup holds the matchup edge (+6.46). Based on pitch-type fit + limited 1:1 history.
Small historical sample: pitch-type profile and recent form are weighted more heavily. confirmed_lineup / probable_lineup / roster_proxy.
Nyx Analysis
- β’The St. Louis Cardinals are favored on a deeper lineup and a stronger bullpen.
- β’Limited sample size β confidence is capped.
βΈSupporting data
matchup.edge: team=St. Louis Cardinals Β· reasons=bat,bp Β· edge=7
matchup.lowSample: β
Matthew Liberatore vs Minnesota Twins lineup
vs Matthew Liberatore Β· lineup: roster_proxy
| # | Batter | PA | AVG | OPS | xwOBA | K% | Pitcher weapon | Danger pitch | Edge | Conf | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trevor Larnach | 0 | β | β | β | β | Curveball | Cutter | Pitcher edge | 20% | TINY |
| 1 | Austin Martin | 0 | β | β | β | β | Curveball | Cutter | Pitcher edge | 20% | TINY |
| 2 | Byron Buxton | 0 | β | β | β | β | Curveball | Slider | Neutral | 20% | TINY |
| 3 | Kody Clemens | 0 | β | β | β | β | Curveball | Changeup | Neutral | 20% | TINY |
| 4 | Royce Lewis | 0 | β | β | β | β | Curveball | Sinker | Pitcher edge | 20% | TINY |
| 5 | Brooks Lee | 0 | β | β | β | β | Curveball | β | Low sample | 20% | TINY |
| 6 | Orlando Arcia | 0 | β | β | β | β | Curveball | Sinker | Pitcher edge | 20% | TINY |
| 7 | Victor Caratini | 0 | β | β | β | β | Curveball | Slider | Neutral | 20% | TINY |
| 7 | Ryan Kreidler | 0 | β | β | β | β | Curveball | Sinker | Pitcher edge | 20% | TINY |
| 8 | Luke Keaschall | 0 | β | β | β | β | Curveball | β | Low sample | 20% | TINY |
| 9 | Alex Jackson | 0 | β | β | β | β | Curveball | Cutter | Pitcher edge | 20% | TINY |
Connor Prielipp vs St. Louis Cardinals lineup
vs Connor Prielipp Β· lineup: confirmed_lineup
| # | Batter | PA | AVG | OPS | xwOBA | K% | Pitcher weapon | Danger pitch | Edge | Conf | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Masyn Winn | 0 | β | β | β | β | Curveball | β | Low sample | 20% | TINY |
| 1 | JJ Wetherholt | 0 | β | β | β | β | Curveball | β | Low sample | 20% | TINY |
| 2 | IvΓ‘n Herrera | 0 | β | β | β | β | Curveball | β | Low sample | 20% | TINY |
| 3 | Jordan Walker | 0 | β | β | β | β | Curveball | β | Low sample | 20% | TINY |
| 4 | Nelson VelΓ‘zquez | 0 | β | β | β | β | Curveball | β | Low sample | 20% | TINY |
| 5 | Lars Nootbaar | 0 | β | β | β | β | Curveball | 4-Seam Fastball | Pitcher edge | 20% | TINY |
| 5 | Alec Burleson | 0 | β | β | β | β | Curveball | β | Low sample | 20% | TINY |
| 6 | Blaze Jordan | 0 | β | β | β | β | Curveball | β | Low sample | 20% | TINY |
| 7 | JosΓ© FermΓn | 0 | β | β | β | β | Curveball | Sinker | Pitcher edge | 20% | TINY |
| 7 | Jimmy Crooks | 0 | β | β | β | β | Curveball | β | Low sample | 20% | TINY |
| 8 | Pedro PagΓ©s | 0 | β | β | β | β | Curveball | β | Low sample | 20% | TINY |
| 8 | Bryan Torres | 0 | β | β | β | β | Curveball | 4-Seam Fastball | Pitcher edge | 20% | TINY |
| 9 | Nathan Church | 0 | β | β | β | β | Curveball | β | Low sample | 20% | TINY |
Pitch-type breakdown
Matthew Liberatore vs
No pitch-type history for this pairing.
Connor Prielipp vs
No pitch-type history for this pairing.
Bullpen vs lineup (highest risk first)
| Reliever | Batter | PA | OPS | xwOBA | Arsenal | Batter weak vs | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Graceffo | Luke Keaschall | 1 | β | .702 | FF 43%, SL 25%, CU 17% | β | MEDIUM |
| Gordon Graceffo | Byron Buxton | 1 | β | .702 | FF 43%, SL 25%, CU 17% | Split-Finger | MEDIUM |
| Gordon Graceffo | Trevor Larnach | 1 | .000 | .756 | FF 43%, SL 25%, CU 17% | Split-Finger | MEDIUM |
| Ryne Stanek | Brooks Lee | 1 | 5.000 | .674 | FF 51%, SL 24%, FS 14% | β | MEDIUM |
| Ryne Stanek | Kody Clemens | 1 | 5.000 | 1.254 | FF 51%, SL 24%, FS 14% | 4-Seam Fastball | MEDIUM |
| Ryne Stanek | Royce Lewis | 1 | 5.000 | 1.457 | FF 51%, SL 24%, FS 14% | Knuckle Curve | MEDIUM |
| Taylor Rogers | JJ Wetherholt | 1 | β | .702 | ST 47%, SI 38%, FC 16% | β | MEDIUM |
| Taylor Rogers | Jimmy Crooks | 1 | β | .702 | ST 47%, SI 38%, FC 16% | β | MEDIUM |
| Andrew Morris | Lars Nootbaar | 1 | .000 | .079 | FF 40%, ST 18%, FC 17% | Split-Finger | LOW |
| Andrew Morris | Masyn Winn | 1 | .000 | .282 | FF 40%, ST 18%, FC 17% | β | LOW |
| Andrew Morris | Jordan Walker | 1 | .000 | .238 | FF 40%, ST 18%, FC 17% | β | LOW |
| Ryne Stanek | Luke Keaschall | 1 | .000 | .000 | FF 51%, SL 24%, FS 14% | β | LOW |
| Ryne Stanek | Victor Caratini | 1 | .000 | .183 | FF 51%, SL 24%, FS 14% | Curveball | LOW |
| Taylor Rogers | Blaze Jordan | 1 | .000 | .000 | ST 47%, SI 38%, FC 16% | β | LOW |
| Taylor Rogers | Nelson VelΓ‘zquez | 1 | .000 | .000 | ST 47%, SI 38%, FC 16% | β | LOW |
| Alex Jackson | Alec Burleson | 0 | β | β | FA 100% | β | UNKNOWN |
| Alex Jackson | Nelson VelΓ‘zquez | 0 | β | β | FA 100% | β | UNKNOWN |
| Alex Jackson | Jordan Walker | 0 | β | β | FA 100% | β | UNKNOWN |
| Alex Jackson | IvΓ‘n Herrera | 0 | β | β | FA 100% | β | UNKNOWN |
| Alex Jackson | Masyn Winn | 0 | β | β | FA 100% | β | UNKNOWN |
| Alex Jackson | Bryan Torres | 0 | β | β | FA 100% | Slider | UNKNOWN |
| Alex Jackson | Jimmy Crooks | 0 | β | β | FA 100% | β | UNKNOWN |
| Alex Jackson | Lars Nootbaar | 0 | β | β | FA 100% | Split-Finger | UNKNOWN |
| Alex Jackson | JJ Wetherholt | 0 | β | β | FA 100% | β | UNKNOWN |
| Alex Jackson | Blaze Jordan | 0 | β | β | FA 100% | β | UNKNOWN |
| Alex Jackson | JosΓ© FermΓn | 0 | β | β | FA 100% | Slider | UNKNOWN |
| Alex Jackson | Nathan Church | 0 | β | β | FA 100% | β | UNKNOWN |
| Alex Jackson | Pedro PagΓ©s | 0 | β | β | FA 100% | β | UNKNOWN |
| Andrew Morris | JosΓ© FermΓn | 0 | β | β | FF 40%, ST 18%, FC 17% | Slider | UNKNOWN |
| Andrew Morris | JJ Wetherholt | 0 | β | β | FF 40%, ST 18%, FC 17% | β | UNKNOWN |
| Andrew Morris | Jimmy Crooks | 0 | β | β | FF 40%, ST 18%, FC 17% | β | UNKNOWN |
| Andrew Morris | Bryan Torres | 0 | β | β | FF 40%, ST 18%, FC 17% | Slider | UNKNOWN |
| Andrew Morris | IvΓ‘n Herrera | 0 | β | β | FF 40%, ST 18%, FC 17% | β | UNKNOWN |
| Andrew Morris | Nelson VelΓ‘zquez | 0 | β | β | FF 40%, ST 18%, FC 17% | β | UNKNOWN |
| Andrew Morris | Alec Burleson | 0 | β | β | FF 40%, ST 18%, FC 17% | β | UNKNOWN |
| Andrew Morris | Blaze Jordan | 0 | β | β | FF 40%, ST 18%, FC 17% | β | UNKNOWN |
| Andrew Morris | Pedro PagΓ©s | 0 | β | β | FF 40%, ST 18%, FC 17% | β | UNKNOWN |
| Andrew Morris | Nathan Church | 0 | β | β | FF 40%, ST 18%, FC 17% | β | UNKNOWN |
| Cody Laweryson | JJ Wetherholt | 0 | β | β | FF 68%, FC 18%, CH 14% | β | UNKNOWN |
| Cody Laweryson | Pedro PagΓ©s | 0 | β | β | FF 68%, FC 18%, CH 14% | β | UNKNOWN |
Top 3 hitter advantages
Byron Buxton vs Matthew Liberatore
56Neutral
Brooks Lee vs Matthew Liberatore
52Low sample
Luke Keaschall vs Matthew Liberatore
52Low sample
Top 3 pitcher advantages
Matthew Liberatore vs Ryan Kreidler80
Matthew Liberatore vs Austin Martin77
Connor Prielipp vs JosΓ© FermΓn72