Final
STL4–5
Final
MINLine score not available yet.
NYX Live Trend
Trend begins at first pitch.
Model-based game control score derived from live play-by-play. Not betting odds.
Postgame Review
What changed after first pitch.
Result
Twins won · Cardinals 4, Twins 5
Pregame edge
Twins · held up
Pregame Snapshot
Before first pitch, NYX expected…
NYX Win Edge
Twins 53% to Win
Slight EdgeConfirmed
Updated after confirmed lineups. Model-based estimate, not betting odds.
Cardinals also brings
- •Better starter projection
- •Better recent form
Why we like Twins
- ✓Opponent missing key regulars
- ✓Lower bullpen fatigue
- ✓Home field
- ✓High model confidence
- ✓Model projects the overall edge
Home Advantage
Twins home51%20–19
Cardinals road56%19–15
Home Edge-5
Team Story
Twins comes in playing steady baseball lately. Cardinals brings real power upside at the plate, but Twins holds the stronger overall profile.
Game Notes
- •Byron Buxton leads the Twins with 22 HR
- •Jordan Walker leads the Cardinals with 18 HR
- •Byron Buxton leads the Twins with 69 hits
- •Jordan Walker leads the Cardinals with 79 hits
- •Byron Buxton ranks #3 in MLB in HR (22)
Overall MatchupCardinalsTwins
53
56
Matchup Scorecard
CardinalsTwins
3046
Starting Pitching
6966
Bullpen
6456
Offense
5133
Run Prevention
5873
Context & Health
Cardinals @ Twins
NYX Engine v2.2Walk-Forward Validated
Key Drivers
- Starting PitchingTwins +4.3
- Run PreventionCardinals -2.4
- HealthTwins +1.8
- OffenseCardinals -1.5
- Home AdvantageTwins +1.4
What Could Flip It
- •If St. Louis Cardinals run prevention delivers, it could swing the game
- •If St. Louis Cardinals offense delivers, it could swing the game
- •Bullpen is near-even and could decide it
Prediction Timeline
How the NYX read moved before first pitch.
- 53%Initial Read
Health & Availability
Cardinals★★★★★2 regular(s) out
Twins★★★★★1 regular(s) out
Away starter
Michael McGreevy
ProbableData quality: Medium
▸Show stats
Season stats unavailable
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Source: MLB schedule
St. Louis Cardinals holds a 11.0-pt model edge (Minnesota Twins 51.2 vs St. Louis Cardinals 62.2). Confidence 100% (high data). Analysis edge only — not betting advice.
Last 10 Meetings
Twins lead 2–1Cardinals
LWL
Twins
WLW
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