Analysis edge is not betting advice. Scores are based on available public data and may be incomplete.
NyxAether

Matchup Scorecard β€” Atlanta Braves @ New York Mets

Away starter

MartΓ­n PΓ©rezConfirmed

Home starter

Huascar BrazobΓ‘nProjected

Projected from recent rotation pattern. Subject to change.

Starts --Β· game day 2026-06-13
Edge: New York Mets +3.2LOWNew York Mets lineup holds the matchup edge (+3.19). Based on pitch-type fit + limited 1:1 history.

Small historical sample: pitch-type profile and recent form are weighted more heavily. confirmed_lineup / probable_lineup / roster_proxy.

Nyx Analysis

  • β€’The Atlanta Braves are favored on a stronger starter and a stronger bullpen.
  • β€’Limited sample size β€” confidence is capped.
β–ΈSupporting data

matchup.edge: team=Atlanta Braves Β· reasons=sp,bp Β· edge=8

matchup.lowSample: β€”

MartΓ­n PΓ©rez vs New York Mets lineup

vs MartΓ­n PΓ©rez Β· lineup: roster_proxy

#BatterPAAVGOPSxwOBAK%Pitcher weaponDanger pitchEdgeConfSample
1Carson Benge0β€”β€”β€”β€”Changeupβ€”Low sample20%TINY
2Bo Bichette0β€”β€”β€”β€”ChangeupCurveballPitcher edge20%TINY
3Juan Soto0β€”β€”β€”β€”Changeup4-Seam FastballNeutral20%TINY
4Jared Young0β€”β€”β€”β€”Changeupβ€”Low sample20%TINY
5A.J. Ewing0β€”β€”β€”β€”Changeupβ€”Low sample20%TINY
6Marcus Semien0β€”β€”β€”β€”ChangeupSinkerBatter edge20%TINY
7Brett Baty0β€”β€”β€”β€”Changeupβ€”Low sample20%TINY
8MJ Melendez0β€”β€”β€”β€”ChangeupCutterPitcher edge20%TINY
9Luis Torrens0β€”β€”β€”β€”ChangeupSinkerPitcher edge20%TINY

SP vs Atlanta Braves lineup

vs probable pitcher Β· lineup: roster_proxy

#BatterPAAVGOPSxwOBAK%Pitcher weaponDanger pitchEdgeConfSample
1Mauricio DubΓ³n0β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”Low sample20%TINY
2Michael Harris II0β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”Low sample20%TINY
3Matt Olson0β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”Low sample20%TINY
4Ozzie Albies0β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”Low sample20%TINY
5Jorge Mateo0β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”Low sample20%TINY
6Austin Riley0β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”Low sample20%TINY
7Eli White0β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”Low sample20%TINY
8JR Ritchie0β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”Low sample20%TINY
9Austin Wynns0β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”Low sample20%TINY

Pitch-type breakdown

MartΓ­n PΓ©rez vs

No pitch-type history for this pairing.

Bullpen vs lineup (highest risk first)

RelieverBatterPAOPSxwOBAArsenalBatter weak vsRisk
Cionel PΓ©rezMatt Olson32.333.424CU 31%, SI 25%, SV 24%Knuckle CurveHIGH
Cionel PΓ©rezMauricio DubΓ³n2.500.451CU 31%, SI 25%, SV 24%Knuckle CurveMEDIUM
Cionel PΓ©rezOzzie Albies21.000.344CU 31%, SI 25%, SV 24%ChangeupMEDIUM
Cionel PΓ©rezAustin Riley2.500.505CU 31%, SI 25%, SV 24%CurveballMEDIUM
JR RitchieBo Bichette2.000.362CU 25%, FF 21%, CH 18%ChangeupMEDIUM
JR RitchieJuan Soto22.000.906CU 25%, FF 21%, CH 18%CurveballMEDIUM
JR RitchieLuis Torrens21.000.456CU 25%, FF 21%, CH 18%CurveballMEDIUM
Cionel PΓ©rezMichael Harris II2.000.242CU 31%, SI 25%, SV 24%β€”LOW
Huascar BrazobΓ‘nMauricio DubΓ³n1.000.000SI 48%, CH 42%, FF 6%Knuckle CurveLOW
Huascar BrazobΓ‘nAustin Riley1.000.000SI 48%, CH 42%, FF 6%CurveballLOW
Huascar BrazobΓ‘nAustin Wynns1.000.000SI 48%, CH 42%, FF 6%SweeperLOW
JR RitchieCarson Benge2.000.103CU 25%, FF 21%, CH 18%β€”LOW
JR RitchieJared Young2.000.129CU 25%, FF 21%, CH 18%β€”LOW
JR RitchieA.J. Ewing2.000.095CU 25%, FF 21%, CH 18%β€”LOW
JR RitchieMarcus Semien2.500.351CU 25%, FF 21%, CH 18%SliderLOW
JR RitchieBrett Baty2.000.190CU 25%, FF 21%, CH 18%β€”LOW
JR RitchieMJ Melendez2.000.000CU 25%, FF 21%, CH 18%CurveballLOW
A.J. MinterMauricio DubΓ³n0β€”β€”FC 52%, FF 38%, CH 10%Knuckle CurveUNKNOWN
A.J. MinterAustin Wynns0β€”β€”FC 52%, FF 38%, CH 10%SweeperUNKNOWN
A.J. MinterJR Ritchie0β€”β€”FC 52%, FF 38%, CH 10%β€”UNKNOWN
A.J. MinterEli White0β€”β€”FC 52%, FF 38%, CH 10%4-Seam FastballUNKNOWN
A.J. MinterAustin Riley0β€”β€”FC 52%, FF 38%, CH 10%CurveballUNKNOWN
A.J. MinterJorge Mateo0β€”β€”FC 52%, FF 38%, CH 10%4-Seam FastballUNKNOWN
A.J. MinterOzzie Albies0β€”β€”FC 52%, FF 38%, CH 10%ChangeupUNKNOWN
A.J. MinterMatt Olson0β€”β€”FC 52%, FF 38%, CH 10%Knuckle CurveUNKNOWN
A.J. MinterMichael Harris II0β€”β€”FC 52%, FF 38%, CH 10%β€”UNKNOWN
Cionel PΓ©rezJorge Mateo0β€”β€”CU 31%, SI 25%, SV 24%4-Seam FastballUNKNOWN
Cionel PΓ©rezEli White0β€”β€”CU 31%, SI 25%, SV 24%4-Seam FastballUNKNOWN
Cionel PΓ©rezJR Ritchie0β€”β€”CU 31%, SI 25%, SV 24%β€”UNKNOWN
Cionel PΓ©rezAustin Wynns0β€”β€”CU 31%, SI 25%, SV 24%SweeperUNKNOWN
David PetersonAustin Wynns0β€”β€”SI 30%, SL 23%, FF 23%SweeperUNKNOWN
David PetersonMauricio DubΓ³n0β€”β€”SI 30%, SL 23%, FF 23%Knuckle CurveUNKNOWN
David PetersonMichael Harris II0β€”β€”SI 30%, SL 23%, FF 23%β€”UNKNOWN
David PetersonMatt Olson0β€”β€”SI 30%, SL 23%, FF 23%Knuckle CurveUNKNOWN
David PetersonOzzie Albies0β€”β€”SI 30%, SL 23%, FF 23%ChangeupUNKNOWN
David PetersonJorge Mateo0β€”β€”SI 30%, SL 23%, FF 23%4-Seam FastballUNKNOWN
David PetersonAustin Riley0β€”β€”SI 30%, SL 23%, FF 23%CurveballUNKNOWN
David PetersonEli White0β€”β€”SI 30%, SL 23%, FF 23%4-Seam FastballUNKNOWN
David PetersonJR Ritchie0β€”β€”SI 30%, SL 23%, FF 23%β€”UNKNOWN
Didier FuentesCarson Benge0β€”β€”FF 65%, SL 28%, FS 7%β€”UNKNOWN

Top 3 hitter advantages

Marcus Semien vs MartΓ­n PΓ©rez
63Batter edge
Ozzie Albies vs
56Low sample
Juan Soto vs MartΓ­n PΓ©rez
52Neutral

Top 3 pitcher advantages

vs Austin Wynns88
MartΓ­n PΓ©rez vs MJ Melendez82
vs Michael Harris II80