Scheduled
MIAStarter
Gusto
vs--Local Time
PHINYX Live Trend
Trend begins at first pitch.
Model-based game control score derived from live play-by-play. Not betting odds.
Pregame Snapshot
Before first pitch, NYX expectedβ¦
NYX Win Edge
Phillies 56% to Win
Slight EdgeProjected
Updated after confirmed lineups. Model-based estimate, not betting odds.
Why we like Phillies
- βStrong home-field advantage
- βHigher overall matchup score
- βModel projects the overall edge
Home Advantage
Phillies home53%19β17
Marlins road39%13β20
Home Edge+13
Game Notes
- β’Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with 24 HR
- β’Liam Hicks leads the Marlins with 13 HR
- β’Brandon Marsh leads the Phillies with 76 hits
- β’Otto Lopez leads the Marlins with 97 hits
- β’Otto Lopez ranks #1 in MLB in AVG (.343)
Overall MatchupMarlinsPhillies
56
74
Matchup Scorecard
MarlinsPhillies
31β
Starting Pitching
8488
Bullpen
5752
Offense
6776
Run Prevention
4280
Context & Health
Marlins @ Phillies
NYX Engine v2.2Walk-Forward Validated
Key Drivers
- Home AdvantagePhillies +3.9
- Run PreventionPhillies +1.2
- BullpenPhillies +0.9
- OffenseMarlins -0.8
Risk Factors
- β’Probable starter TBD β starting-pitching edge is limited
What Could Flip It
- β’If Miami Marlins offense delivers, it could swing the game
- β’Bullpen is near-even and could decide it
Starter TBD β model currently relies more heavily on team offense, bullpen, run prevention, and recent form until probable starters are confirmed.
Prediction Timeline
How the NYX read moved before first pitch.
- 56%Initial Read
Health & Availability
Marlinsβ
β
β
β
β
Full strength
Philliesβ
β
β
β
β
Full strength
Away starter
Ryan Gusto
ConfirmedData quality: Medium
βΈShow stats
Season stats unavailable
Arsenal unavailable
Source: MLB schedule
Philadelphia Phillies holds a 33.3-pt model edge (Philadelphia Phillies 33.3 vs Miami Marlins 0.0). Confidence 0% (low data). Analysis edge only β not betting advice.
Miami Marlins
form 65OPS.763
AVG.275
OBP.349
SLG.414
ISO.140
HR3
K%16.4%
BB%9.8%
Runs34