Final
NYY3β1
Final
TORLine score not available yet.
NYX Live Trend
Trend begins at first pitch.
Model-based game control score derived from live play-by-play. Not betting odds.
Postgame Review
What changed after first pitch.
Result
Yankees won Β· Yankees 3, Blue Jays 1
Pregame edge
Blue Jays Β· missed
Pregame Snapshot
Before first pitch, NYX expectedβ¦
NYX Win Edge
Blue Jays 51% to Win
Toss-UpConfirmed
Updated after confirmed lineups. Model-based estimate, not betting odds.
Yankees also brings
- β’Lower bullpen fatigue
Why we like Blue Jays
- βOpponent missing key regulars
- βBetter starter projection
- βBetter bullpen quality
- βBetter recent form
- βHome field
Home Advantage
Blue Jays home54%21β18
Yankees road62%24β15
Home Edge-8
Team Story
Blue Jays has been the stronger side at home this season (54%). Yankees brings real power upside at the plate, but Blue Jays brings the stronger overall context.
Game Notes
- β’Kazuma Okamoto leads the Blue Jays with 15 HR
- β’Ben Rice leads the Yankees with 19 HR
- β’Ernie Clement leads the Blue Jays with 84 hits
- β’Ben Rice leads the Yankees with 70 hits
- β’Ernie Clement ranks #4 in MLB in hits (84)
Overall MatchupYankeesBlue Jays
77
70
Matchup Scorecard
YankeesBlue Jays
8874
Starting Pitching
8283
Bullpen
6551
Offense
6550
Run Prevention
7577
Context & Health
Yankees @ Blue Jays
NYX Engine v2.2Walk-Forward Validated
Key Drivers
- Starting PitchingYankees -3.7
- OffenseYankees -2.5
- Run PreventionYankees -2.0
- HealthBlue Jays +1.0
- Home AdvantageYankees -0.5
What Could Flip It
- β’If New York Yankees run prevention delivers, it could swing the game
- β’If New York Yankees offense delivers, it could swing the game
- β’Bullpen is near-even and could decide it
Health & Availability
Yankeesβ
β
β
β
β
2 regular(s) out
Blue Jaysβ
β
β
β
β
1 regular(s) out
Away starter
Cam Schlittler
ProbableData quality: Medium
βΈShow stats
Season stats unavailable
Arsenal unavailable
Source: MLB schedule
Home starter
Kevin Gausman
ProbableData quality: Medium
βΈShow stats
Season stats unavailable
Arsenal unavailable
Source: MLB schedule
Matchup Edge
high dataconf 100%
Toronto Blue Jays (home)vsNew York Yankees (away)
Toronto Blue Jays edge +14.7
Toronto Blue Jays holds a 14.7-pt model edge (Toronto Blue Jays 69.3 vs New York Yankees 54.7). Confidence 100% (high data). Analysis edge only β not betting advice.
Each score is 0β100, higher = stronger side. Left value / bar = Toronto Blue Jays (home), right value = New York Yankees (away).
52Starter37
Probable starter's recent form & expected runs β model weight 25%.
79Batting74
Lineup run production (OPS / xwOBA basis) β model weight 25%.
70Bullpen54
Toronto Blue Jays holds a 14.7-pt model edge (Toronto Blue Jays 69.3 vs New York Yankees 54.7). Confidence 100% (high data). Analysis edge only β not betting advice.
Last 10 Meetings
3 games| Date | Matchup | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14 | NYY @ TOR | 8β3 | YankeesA |
| Jun 13 | NYY @ TOR | 3β1 | YankeesA |
| Jun 12 | NYY @ TOR | 5β8 | Blue JaysH |
Jun 14