Final
Line score not available yet.
Trend begins at first pitch.
Model-based game control score derived from live play-by-play. Not betting odds.
What changed after first pitch.
Result
Yankees won Β· Yankees 8, Blue Jays 3
Pregame edge
Yankees Β· held up
Before first pitch, NYX expectedβ¦
NYX Win Edge
Yankees 54% to Win
Updated after confirmed lineups. Model-based estimate, not betting odds.
Blue Jays also brings
Home Advantage
Yankees has handled the road well this season (62%). Blue Jays can lean on a deeper bullpen, but Yankees has the more favorable setup on pitching depth and the bats.
Key Drivers
What Could Flip It
Prediction Timeline
How the NYX read moved before first pitch.
Health & Availability
Away starter
Season stats unavailable
Arsenal unavailable
Source: MLB schedule
New York Yankees holds a 4.2-pt model edge (Toronto Blue Jays 49.1 vs New York Yankees 53.3). Confidence 100% (high data). Analysis edge only β not betting advice.
Last 10 Meetings
3 games| Date | Matchup | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14 | NYY @ TOR | 8β3 | YankeesA |
| Jun 13 | NYY @ TOR | 3β1 | YankeesA |
| Jun 12 | NYY @ TOR | 5β8 | Blue JaysH |
Jun 14
Home starter
Season stats unavailable
Arsenal unavailable
Source: MLB schedule
New York Yankees holds a 4.2-pt model edge (Toronto Blue Jays 49.1 vs New York Yankees 53.3). Confidence 100% (high data). Analysis edge only β not betting advice.
Each score is 0β100, higher = stronger side. Left value / bar = Toronto Blue Jays (home), right value = New York Yankees (away).
Probable starter's recent form & expected runs β model weight 25%.
Lineup run production (OPS / xwOBA basis) β model weight 25%.
Relief corps: recent fatigue (50%), ERA (30%), WHIP (20%) β model weight 20%.
Weighted blend β starter 25 Β· pressure 15 Β· batting 25 Β· bullpen 20 Β· home 5 Β· data 10.
Analysis edge β not betting advice.
Jun 13
NYY 3Β·TOR 1
Jun 12
NYY 5Β·TOR 8
Completed games only Β· home (H) / away (A) winner Β· real MLB results