Nyx Aether Baseball

Matchup Scorecard — Seattle Mariners @ Washington Nationals

Bryce Miller vs Zack Littell

Final · Started --· game day 2026-06-12

Edge: Washington Nationals +7.5LOWWashington Nationals lineup holds the matchup edge (+7.46). Based on pitch-type fit + limited 1:1 history.

Small historical sample: pitch-type profile and recent form are weighted more heavily. confirmed_lineup / probable_lineup / roster_proxy.

Nyx Analysis

•The Washington Nationals are favored on a deeper lineup.
•Limited sample size — confidence is capped.

▸Supporting data

matchup.edge: team=Washington Nationals · reasons=bat · edge=7

matchup.lowSample: —

Bryce Miller vs Washington Nationals lineup

vs Bryce Miller · lineup: roster_proxy

#	Batter	AVG	OPS	xwOBA	K%	Pitcher weapon	Danger pitch	Edge	Conf	Sample
1	James Wood	—	—	—	—	Slider	—	Low sample	20%	TINY
2	Curtis Mead	—	—	—	—	Slider	Split-Finger	Neutral	20%	TINY
3	Luis García Jr.	—	—	—	—	Slider	4-Seam Fastball	Neutral	20%	TINY
4	Dylan Crews	—	—	—	—	Slider	—	Low sample	20%	TINY
5	Daylen Lile	—	—	—	—	Slider	—	Low sample	20%	TINY
6	Jacob Young	—	—	—	—	Slider	—	Low sample	20%	TINY
7	Nasim Nuñez	—	—	—	—	Slider	—	Low sample	20%	TINY
8	Jorbit Vivas	—	—	—	—	Slider	Knuckle Curve	Pitcher edge	20%	TINY
9	Keibert Ruiz	—	—	—	—	Slider	Split-Finger	Neutral	20%	TINY

Zack Littell vs Seattle Mariners lineup

vs Zack Littell · lineup: roster_proxy

#	Batter	AVG	OPS	xwOBA	K%	Pitcher weapon	Danger pitch	Edge	Conf	Sample
1	Cole Young	—	—	—	—	Sweeper	—	Low sample	20%	TINY
2	Julio Rodríguez	—	—	—	—	Sweeper	Sinker	Pitcher edge	20%	TINY
3	Josh Naylor	—	—	—	—	Sweeper	Sweeper	Pitcher edge	20%	TINY
4	Randy Arozarena	—	—	—	—	Sweeper	Sweeper	Pitcher edge	20%	TINY
5	Luke Raley	—	—	—	—	Sweeper	Sinker	Pitcher edge	20%	TINY
6	Dominic Canzone	—	—	—	—	Sweeper	—	Low sample	20%	TINY
7	Miles Mastrobuoni	—	—	—	—	Sweeper	—	Low sample	20%	TINY
8	Mitch Garver	—	—	—	—	Sweeper	Sinker	Pitcher edge	20%	TINY
9	Colt Emerson	—	—	—	—	Sweeper	—	Low sample	20%	TINY

Pitch-type breakdown

Bryce Miller vs

No pitch-type history for this pairing.

Zack Littell vs

No pitch-type history for this pairing.

Bullpen vs lineup (highest risk first)

Reliever	Batter	OPS	xwOBA	Arsenal	Batter weak vs	Risk
Alex Hoppe	Keibert Ruiz	—	—	SL 49%, FF 35%, SI 15%	Sweeper	UNKNOWN
Alex Hoppe	Jorbit Vivas	—	—	SL 49%, FF 35%, SI 15%	Slider	UNKNOWN
Alex Hoppe	Nasim Nuñez	—	—	SL 49%, FF 35%, SI 15%	—	UNKNOWN
Alex Hoppe	Jacob Young	—	—	SL 49%, FF 35%, SI 15%	—	UNKNOWN
Alex Hoppe	James Wood	—	—	SL 49%, FF 35%, SI 15%	—	UNKNOWN
Alex Hoppe	Daylen Lile	—	—	SL 49%, FF 35%, SI 15%	—	UNKNOWN
Alex Hoppe	Dylan Crews	—	—	SL 49%, FF 35%, SI 15%	—	UNKNOWN
Alex Hoppe	Luis García Jr.	—	—	SL 49%, FF 35%, SI 15%	Sweeper	UNKNOWN
Alex Hoppe	Curtis Mead	—	—	SL 49%, FF 35%, SI 15%	Slider	UNKNOWN
Brad Lord	Colt Emerson	—	—	FF 38%, SL 24%, SI 22%	—	UNKNOWN
Brad Lord	Miles Mastrobuoni	—	—	FF 38%, SL 24%, SI 22%	—	UNKNOWN
Brad Lord	Cole Young	—	—	FF 38%, SL 24%, SI 22%	—	UNKNOWN
Brad Lord	Mitch Garver	—	—	FF 38%, SL 24%, SI 22%	Split-Finger	UNKNOWN
Brad Lord	Julio Rodríguez	—	—	FF 38%, SL 24%, SI 22%	Split-Finger	UNKNOWN
Brad Lord	Luke Raley	—	—	FF 38%, SL 24%, SI 22%	Knuckle Curve	UNKNOWN
Brad Lord	Randy Arozarena	—	—	FF 38%, SL 24%, SI 22%	Split-Finger	UNKNOWN
Brad Lord	Josh Naylor	—	—	FF 38%, SL 24%, SI 22%	Slider	UNKNOWN
Brad Lord	Dominic Canzone	—	—	FF 38%, SL 24%, SI 22%	—	UNKNOWN
Domingo Gonzalez	James Wood	—	—	FF 38%, SL 37%, SI 24%	—	UNKNOWN
Domingo Gonzalez	Luis García Jr.	—	—	FF 38%, SL 37%, SI 24%	Sweeper	UNKNOWN
Domingo Gonzalez	Dylan Crews	—	—	FF 38%, SL 37%, SI 24%	—	UNKNOWN
Domingo Gonzalez	Daylen Lile	—	—	FF 38%, SL 37%, SI 24%	—	UNKNOWN
Domingo Gonzalez	Jacob Young	—	—	FF 38%, SL 37%, SI 24%	—	UNKNOWN
Domingo Gonzalez	Keibert Ruiz	—	—	FF 38%, SL 37%, SI 24%	Sweeper	UNKNOWN
Domingo Gonzalez	Jorbit Vivas	—	—	FF 38%, SL 37%, SI 24%	Slider	UNKNOWN
Domingo Gonzalez	Nasim Nuñez	—	—	FF 38%, SL 37%, SI 24%	—	UNKNOWN
Domingo Gonzalez	Curtis Mead	—	—	FF 38%, SL 37%, SI 24%	Slider	UNKNOWN
Gabe Speier	Curtis Mead	—	—	FF 37%, SL 33%, SI 30%	Slider	UNKNOWN
Gabe Speier	Keibert Ruiz	—	—	FF 37%, SL 33%, SI 30%	Sweeper	UNKNOWN
Gabe Speier	Jorbit Vivas	—	—	FF 37%, SL 33%, SI 30%	Slider	UNKNOWN
Gabe Speier	Nasim Nuñez	—	—	FF 37%, SL 33%, SI 30%	—	UNKNOWN
Gabe Speier	Jacob Young	—	—	FF 37%, SL 33%, SI 30%	—	UNKNOWN
Gabe Speier	Daylen Lile	—	—	FF 37%, SL 33%, SI 30%	—	UNKNOWN
Gabe Speier	Dylan Crews	—	—	FF 37%, SL 33%, SI 30%	—	UNKNOWN
Gabe Speier	Luis García Jr.	—	—	FF 37%, SL 33%, SI 30%	Sweeper	UNKNOWN
Gabe Speier	James Wood	—	—	FF 37%, SL 33%, SI 30%	—	UNKNOWN
José A. Ferrer	Keibert Ruiz	—	—	SI 67%, CH 18%, SL 15%	Sweeper	UNKNOWN
José A. Ferrer	James Wood	—	—	SI 67%, CH 18%, SL 15%	—	UNKNOWN
José A. Ferrer	Curtis Mead	—	—	SI 67%, CH 18%, SL 15%	Slider	UNKNOWN
José A. Ferrer	Luis García Jr.	—	—	SI 67%, CH 18%, SL 15%	Sweeper	UNKNOWN

Top 3 hitter advantages

Curtis Mead vs Bryce Miller

54Neutral

Luis García Jr. vs Bryce Miller

51Neutral

Keibert Ruiz vs Bryce Miller

47Neutral

Top 3 pitcher advantages

Zack Littell vs Cole Young80

Zack Littell vs Dominic Canzone80

Zack Littell vs Miles Mastrobuoni80