Final
SEA1–10
Final
WSHLine score not available yet.
NYX Live Trend
Trend begins at first pitch.
Model-based game control score derived from live play-by-play. Not betting odds.
Postgame Review
What changed after first pitch.
Result
Nationals won · Mariners 1, Nationals 10
Pregame edge
Mariners · missed
Pregame Snapshot
Before first pitch, NYX expected…
NYX Win Edge
Mariners 54% to Win
Slight EdgeConfirmed
Updated after confirmed lineups. Model-based estimate, not betting odds.
Nationals also brings
- •Home field
Why we like Mariners
- ✓Better starter projection
- ✓Better bullpen quality
- ✓Lower bullpen fatigue
- ✓Better recent form
- ✓Better offensive production
Home Advantage
Nationals home40%14–21
Mariners road47%18–20
Home Edge-7
Team Story
Mariners carries the model's edge into this matchup. Nationals counters with a capable starter, but Mariners looks better positioned, led by the bullpen edge and the bats.
Game Notes
- •James Wood leads the Nationals with 20 HR
- •Julio Rodríguez leads the Mariners with 13 HR
- •James Wood leads the Nationals with 77 hits
- •Randy Arozarena leads the Mariners with 76 hits
- •James Wood ranks #4 in MLB in HR (20)
Overall MatchupMarinersNationals
58
39
Matchup Scorecard
MarinersNationals
3614
Starting Pitching
6444
Bullpen
6754
Offense
5420
Run Prevention
7264
Context & Health
Mariners @ Nationals
NYX Engine v2.2Walk-Forward Validated
Key Drivers
- Starting PitchingMariners -5.5
- BullpenMariners -4.5
- Run PreventionMariners -4.4
- OffenseMariners -2.4
- Home AdvantageMariners -2.2
What Could Flip It
- •If Washington Nationals health delivers, it could swing the game
- •Health is near-even and could decide it
Prediction Timeline
How the NYX read moved before first pitch.
- 46%Initial Read
Health & Availability
Mariners★★★★★1 regular(s) out
Nationals★★★★★1 regular(s) out
Away starter
Emerson Hancock
ProbableData quality: Medium
▸Show stats
Season stats unavailable
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Source: MLB schedule
Seattle Mariners holds a 6.4-pt model edge (Washington Nationals 49.0 vs Seattle Mariners 55.4). Confidence 100% (high data). Analysis edge only — not betting advice.
Last 10 Meetings
Nationals lead 2–1Mariners
WLL
Nationals
LWW
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